Axon ENTERPRISE, Inc. (AXON) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Axon ENTERPRISE, Inc. (AXON) has a Graham intrinsic value of $50.16 per share. At $390.29 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 678% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 29.7% a year to $2.8B, with an average return on invested capital of 3.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$50.16
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$390.29
Price vs Graham value
678% above
Market cap
$32.1B
Revenue (FY2025)
$2.8B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
29.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
3.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$75.1M

AXON 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $2.8B $124.7M $1.51 $75.1M -2.2% -1.9%
FY2024 $2.1B $377.0M $4.80 $329.5M 2.8% 2.7%
FY2023 $1.6B $174.2M $2.31 $129.6M 9.9% 11.6%
FY2022 $1.2B $147.1M $2.03 $179.6M 7.8% 8.4%
FY2021 $863.4M -$60.0M -$0.91 $74.6M -19.5% -10.8%
FY2020 $681.0M -$1.7M -$0.03 -$34.1M -2.1% -1.2%
FY2019 $530.9M $882.0K $0.01 $49.7M -1.2% -0.8%
FY2018 $420.1M $29.2M $0.50 $52.7M 5.9% 7.8%
FY2017 $343.8M $5.2M $0.10 $8.1M 3.8% 4.1%
FY2016 $268.2M $17.3M $0.32 $13.0M 11.9% 11.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Axon Enterprise is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 29.7% annually over the past decade.

Axon Enterprise has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 1.1% ROIC.

Axon Enterprise has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Axon Enterprise is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $50.16 per share.

AXON stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Axon ENTERPRISE, Inc. (AXON) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AXON's intrinsic value is about $50.16 per share.

Is AXON stock undervalued?

At $390.29 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AXON trades 678% above its Graham value of $50.16. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Axon ENTERPRISE, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $268.2M in fiscal 2016 to $2.8B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 29.7%. Net income was $124.7M in fiscal 2025.

Does Axon ENTERPRISE, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Axon ENTERPRISE, Inc. generated $75.1M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is AXON's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 3.1%, and average return on equity was 6.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AXON data come from?

From Axon ENTERPRISE, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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