Ball Corp. (BALL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Ball Corp. (BALL) has a Graham intrinsic value of $70.61 per share. At $63.20 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 10% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 4.2% a year to $13.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 10.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$70.61
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$63.20
Price vs Graham value
10% below
Market cap
$17.4B
Revenue (FY2025)
$13.2B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
4.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
10.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$788.0M

BALL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $13.2B $915.0M $3.30 $788.0M — 8.4%
FY2024 $11.8B $4.0B $13.00 -$369.0M — 36.6%
FY2023 $14.0B $711.0M $2.23 $818.0M 9.1% 9.5%
FY2022 $15.3B $732.0M $2.25 -$1.4B 7.9% 9.0%
FY2021 $13.8B $878.0M $2.65 $34.0M 9.3% 10.7%
FY2020 $11.8B $582.0M $1.76 $319.0M 8.5% 9.2%
FY2019 $11.5B $536.0M $1.66 $950.0M 8.1% 9.0%
FY2018 $11.6B $453.0M $1.29 $750.0M 8.0% 6.9%
FY2017 $11.0B $380.0M $1.05 $922.0M 7.3% 5.5%
FY2016 $9.1B $266.0M $1.63 -$412.0M 5.1% 4.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Ball Corporation has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 4.2% annually over the past decade.

Ball Corporation returns on capital have been average, hovering around 10.9% ROIC over the decade.

Ball Corporation has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Ball Corporation is modeled at 8.2% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $70.61 per share.

BALL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Ball Corp. (BALL) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.2% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, BALL's intrinsic value is about $70.61 per share.

Is BALL stock undervalued?

At $63.20 (close on Oct 17, 2026), BALL trades 10% below its Graham value of $70.61. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Ball Corp. grown?

Revenue went from $9.1B in fiscal 2016 to $13.2B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 4.2%. Net income was $915.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Ball Corp. generate free cash flow?

Ball Corp. generated $788.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 7 of the last 10 reported years.

What is BALL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 10.9%, and average return on equity was 23.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this BALL data come from?

From Ball Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 4, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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