Blue Dolphin Energy Co. (BDCO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Blue Dolphin Energy Co. (BDCO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $36.14 per share. At $13.27 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 63% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 5.8% a year to $279.4M, with an average return on invested capital of -131.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$36.14
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$13.27
Price vs Graham value
63% below
Market cap
$198.1M
Revenue (FY2025)
$279.4M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
5.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-131.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$779.0K

BDCO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $279.4M -$5.6M -$0.38 -$779.0K -0.5% -4.1%
FY2024 $317.5M -$8.6M -$0.58 -$15.7M -1.4% -13.1%
FY2023 $396.0M $31.0M $2.08 $19.9M 9.2% 93.7%
FY2022 $487.5M $32.9M $2.34 $16.2M 8.0% 122.2%
FY2021 $300.8M -$12.8M -$1.01 -$6.1M -2.2% -40.7%
FY2020 $174.8M -$14.5M -$1.15 -$5.0M -4.5% -58.0%
FY2019 $309.3M $7.4M $0.66 -$9.8M 1.8% -921.9%
FY2018 $340.8M -$523.0K -$0.05 -$1.0M 0.8% -52.0%
FY2017 $258.4M -$22.3M -$2.09 -$9.0M -8.5% -383.5%
FY2016 $167.9M -$15.8M -$1.51 -$20.3M -7.3% -61.9%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY CO has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 5.8% annually over the past decade.

BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY CO has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -2.7% ROIC.

BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY CO has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY CO is modeled at 5.8% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $36.14 per share.

BDCO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Blue Dolphin Energy Co. (BDCO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 5.8% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, BDCO's intrinsic value is about $36.14 per share.

Is BDCO stock undervalued?

At $13.27 (close on Oct 17, 2026), BDCO trades 63% below its Graham value of $36.14. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Blue Dolphin Energy Co. grown?

Revenue went from $167.9M in fiscal 2016 to $279.4M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 5.8%. Net income was -$5.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does Blue Dolphin Energy Co. generate free cash flow?

Blue Dolphin Energy Co. generated -$779.0K of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 2 of the last 10 reported years.

What is BDCO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -131.9%, and average return on equity was -125.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this BDCO data come from?

From Blue Dolphin Energy Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 15, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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