Empire Petroleum Corp. (EP) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Empire Petroleum Corp. (EP) has a Graham intrinsic value of $9.96 per share. At $3.22 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 68% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 84.8% a year to $34.2M, with an average return on invested capital of -69.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$9.96
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$3.22
Price vs Graham value
68% below
Market cap
$109.7M
Revenue (FY2025)
$34.2M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
84.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-69.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

EP 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $34.2M -$72.1M -$2.12 — -208.5% -259.7%
FY2024 $44.0M -$16.2M -$0.54 — -31.1% -36.7%
FY2023 $40.1M -$12.5M -$0.55 — -29.0% -58.2%
FY2022 $53.2M $7.1M $0.30 — 16.5% 91.2%
FY2021 $27.5M -$18.6M -$1.27 — -1.7% 332.5%
FY2020 $7.7M -$16.8M — — -227.5% 220.2%
FY2019 $5.9M -$6.7M — -$606.8K -105.0% -358.0%
FY2018 $465.5K -$1.0M — — -196.8% -108.1%
FY2017 $0 -$830.1K — — — -386.5%
FY2016 $0 -$381.9K — — — -126.7%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -24.3% ROIC.

EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $9.96 per share.

EP stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Empire Petroleum Corp. (EP) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, EP's intrinsic value is about $9.96 per share.

Is EP stock undervalued?

At $3.22 (close on Oct 17, 2026), EP trades 68% below its Graham value of $9.96. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Empire Petroleum Corp. grown?

Revenue went from $0 in fiscal 2016 to $34.2M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 84.8%. Net income was -$72.1M in fiscal 2025.

What is EP's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -69.0%, and average return on equity was 929.5%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this EP data come from?

From Empire Petroleum Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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