Dow Inc. (DOW) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Dow Inc. (DOW) has a Graham intrinsic value of $8.48 per share. At $29.93 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 253% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 1.1% a year to $40.0B, with an average return on invested capital of 5.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$8.48
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$29.93
Price vs Graham value
253% above
Market cap
$21.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$40.0B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-1.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
5.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$1.4B

DOW 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $40.0B -$2.4B -$3.70 -$1.4B — -8.0%
FY2024 $43.0B $1.2B $1.57 -$26.0M — 3.9%
FY2023 $44.6B $660.0M $0.82 $2.8B — 2.1%
FY2022 $56.9B $4.6B $6.28 $5.7B — 15.2%
FY2021 $55.0B $6.4B $8.38 $5.5B — 24.0%
FY2020 $38.5B $1.3B $1.64 $5.0B — 5.1%
FY2019 $43.0B -$1.3B -$1.84 $4.0B — -3.3%
FY2018 $49.6B $4.8B $6.21 $2.2B — 9.7%
FY2017 $43.7B $595.0M $0.60 -$7.7B — 1.9%
FY2016 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Dow Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Dow Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 6.1% ROIC.

Dow Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Dow Inc. is modeled at -1.1% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $8.48 per share.

DOW stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Dow Inc. (DOW) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -1.1% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, DOW's intrinsic value is about $8.48 per share.

Is DOW stock undervalued?

At $29.93 (close on Oct 17, 2026), DOW trades 253% above its Graham value of $8.48. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Dow Inc. generate free cash flow?

Dow Inc. generated -$1.4B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 6 of the last 9 reported years.

What is DOW's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 5.6%, and average return on equity was 9.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this DOW data come from?

From Dow Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 24, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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