Exponent Inc. (EXPO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Exponent Inc. (EXPO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $43.75 per share. At $71.85 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 64% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 7.5% a year to $582.0M, with an average return on invested capital of 32.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$43.75
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$71.85
Price vs Graham value
64% above
Market cap
$3.7B
Revenue (FY2026)
$582.0M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
7.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
32.6%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$122.3M

EXPO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $582.0M $106.0M $2.07 $122.3M 20.6% 35.7%
FY2025 $558.5M $109.0M $2.11 $137.6M 21.4% 41.2%
FY2023 $536.8M $100.3M $1.94 $111.0M 20.7% 45.2%
FY2022 $513.3M $102.3M $1.96 $81.8M 27.4% 62.1%
FY2021 $399.9M $82.6M $1.55 $98.3M 20.8% 38.3%
FY2020 $417.2M $82.5M $1.53 $85.0M 20.4% 35.1%
FY2018 $379.5M $72.3M $1.33 $74.9M 24.1% 23.5%
FY2017 $347.8M $41.3M $0.77 $63.1M 20.7% 12.8%
FY2016 $315.1M $47.5M $0.88 $52.6M 19.6% 16.4%
FY2015 $304.7M $40.7M $0.73 $43.3M 20.9% 15.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

EXPONENT INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 7.5% annually over the past decade.

EXPONENT INC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 32.6% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

EXPONENT INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, EXPONENT INC is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $43.75 per share.

EXPO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Exponent Inc. (EXPO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, EXPO's intrinsic value is about $43.75 per share.

Is EXPO stock undervalued?

At $71.85 (close on Oct 17, 2026), EXPO trades 64% above its Graham value of $43.75. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Exponent Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $304.7M in fiscal 2015 to $582.0M in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%. Net income was $106.0M in fiscal 2026.

Does Exponent Inc. generate free cash flow?

Exponent Inc. generated $122.3M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is EXPO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 32.6%, and average return on equity was 23.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this EXPO data come from?

From Exponent Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 8, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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