Ford Motor Co. (F) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Ford Motor Co. (F) has a Graham intrinsic value of $16.65 per share. At $12.43 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 25% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 2.4% a year to $187.3B, with an average return on invested capital of 3.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$16.65
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$12.43
Price vs Graham value
25% below
Market cap
$49.5B
Revenue (FY2025)
$187.3B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
2.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
3.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$12.5B

F 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $187.3B -$8.2B -$2.06 $12.5B -4.9% -32.0%
FY2024 $185.0B $5.9B $1.46 $6.7B 2.8% 19.5%
FY2023 $176.2B $4.3B $1.08 $6.7B 3.1% 28.3%
FY2022 $158.1B -$2.0B -$0.49 -$13.0M 4.0% 18.1%
FY2021 $136.3B $17.9B $4.45 $9.6B 3.3% 25.9%
FY2020 $127.1B -$1.3B -$0.32 $18.5B -3.5% -39.7%
FY2019 $155.9B $84.0M $0.01 $10.0B 0.4% 1.6%
FY2018 $160.3B $3.7B $0.92 $7.2B 2.0% 2.9%
FY2017 $156.8B $7.6B $1.90 $11.0B 3.1% 2.8%
FY2016 $151.8B $4.6B $1.15 $12.8B — 2.9%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Ford Motor Company has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 2.4% annually over the past decade.

Ford Motor Company has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 3.0% ROIC.

Ford Motor Company has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Ford Motor Company is modeled at 2.4% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $16.65 per share.

F stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Ford Motor Co. (F) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 2.4% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, F's intrinsic value is about $16.65 per share.

Is F stock undervalued?

At $12.43 (close on Oct 17, 2026), F trades 25% below its Graham value of $16.65. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Ford Motor Co. grown?

Revenue went from $151.8B in fiscal 2016 to $187.3B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 2.4%. Net income was -$8.2B in fiscal 2025.

Does Ford Motor Co. generate free cash flow?

Ford Motor Co. generated $12.5B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is F's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 3.0%, and average return on equity was 9.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this F data come from?

From Ford Motor Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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