Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a Graham intrinsic value of $35.87 per share. At $354.72 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 889% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 33.6% a year to $94.8B, with an average return on invested capital of 9.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$35.87
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$354.72
Price vs Graham value
889% above
Market cap
$1.3T
Revenue (FY2025)
$94.8B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
33.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
9.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$6.2B

TSLA 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $94.8B $3.8B $1.08 $6.2B 4.6% 4.4%
FY2024 $97.7B $7.1B $2.04 $3.6B 7.2% 9.4%
FY2023 $96.8B $15.0B $4.30 $4.4B 9.2% 20.9%
FY2022 $81.5B $12.6B $3.62 $7.6B 16.8% 48.4%
FY2021 $53.8B $5.5B $1.63 $5.0B 12.1% 34.9%
FY2020 $31.5B $721.0M $0.21 $2.8B 6.3% 10.7%
FY2019 $24.6B -$862.0M -$0.33 $1.1B -0.3% -0.6%
FY2018 $21.5B -$976.1M -$0.38 -$2.9M -1.8% -3.7%
FY2017 $11.8B -$2.0B -$0.79 -$3.5B -13.9% -18.6%
FY2016 $7.0B -$674.9M -$0.31 -$1.4B -9.5% -9.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Tesla, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 33.6% annually over the past decade.

Tesla, Inc. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 9.6% ROIC over the decade.

Tesla, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Tesla, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $35.87 per share.

TSLA stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TSLA's intrinsic value is about $35.87 per share.

Is TSLA stock undervalued?

At $354.72 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TSLA trades 889% above its Graham value of $35.87. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Tesla, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $7.0B in fiscal 2016 to $94.8B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 33.6%. Net income was $3.8B in fiscal 2025.

Does Tesla, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Tesla, Inc. generated $6.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 7 of the last 10 reported years.

What is TSLA's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 9.7%, and average return on equity was 0.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TSLA data come from?

From Tesla, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 23, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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