Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) has a Graham intrinsic value of $81.63 per share. At $25.10 on Oct 20, 2026, the stock trades 69% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 25.7% a year to $1.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 10.5%.

Graham intrinsic value
$81.63
Share price (Oct 20, 2026)
$25.10
Price vs Graham value
69% below
Market cap
$1.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
25.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
10.5%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$199.9M

FOR 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.5B $167.9M $3.29 -$199.9M — 8.4%
FY2024 $1.5B $203.4M $4.00 -$160.6M — 12.5%
FY2023 $1.3B $166.9M $3.33 $362.8M — 10.8%
FY2022 $1.5B $178.8M $3.59 $105.2M — 11.2%
FY2021 $1.3B $110.2M $2.25 -$304.7M — 8.2%
FY2020 $931.8M $60.8M $1.26 $167.8M — 6.1%
FY2019 $428.3M $33.0M $0.79 -$392.1M — 4.9%
FY2018 — — — — — —
FY2017 $114.3M $50.3M $1.19 -$18.7M 34.8% 5.2%
FY2016 $197.3M $58.6M $1.38 $60.7M 71.1% 27.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Forestar Group Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 25.7% annually over the past decade.

Forestar Group Inc. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 10.5% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, Forestar Group Inc. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Forestar Group Inc. is modeled at 10.1% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $81.63 per share.

FOR stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 10.1% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, FOR's intrinsic value is about $81.63 per share.

Is FOR stock undervalued?

At $25.10 (close on Oct 20, 2026), FOR trades 69% below its Graham value of $81.63. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Forestar Group Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $197.3M in fiscal 2016 to $1.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 25.7%. Net income was $167.9M in fiscal 2025.

Does Forestar Group Inc. generate free cash flow?

Forestar Group Inc. generated -$199.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 9 reported years.

What is FOR's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 10.5%, and average return on equity was 10.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this FOR data come from?

From Forestar Group Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 22, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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