Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 4 fiscal years revenue grew 25.4% a year to CAD 4.2B, with an average return on invested capital of -6.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Revenue (FY2020)
CAD 4.2B
Revenue growth (4-yr CAGR)
25.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-6.9%
Free cash flow (FY2020)
—

GFL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2020 CAD 4.2B -CAD 994.9M -CAD 2.80 — — -9.2%
FY2019 CAD 3.3B -CAD 451.7M -CAD 1.25 — — -4.7%
FY2018 — — — — — —
FY2017 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in CAD.

Executive summary

GFL Environmental Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

GFL Environmental Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -6.9% ROIC.

GFL Environmental Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, GFL Environmental Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-93.00 per share.

GFL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Gfl Environmental Inc. (GFL) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. Gfl Environmental Inc. reported diluted EPS of -CAD 2.80 in fiscal 2020, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

What is GFL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 4 fiscal years was -6.9%, and average return on equity was -19.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this GFL data come from?

From Gfl Environmental Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Feb 26, 2021. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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