Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $11.46 per share. At $12.87 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 12% above that value. Over the last 9 fiscal years revenue grew 12.3% a year to $4.7B, with an average return on invested capital of 5.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$11.46
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$12.87
Price vs Graham value
12% above
Market cap
$1.3B
Revenue (FY2026)
$4.7B
Revenue growth (9-yr CAGR)
12.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
5.0%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$23.8M

GO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $4.7B -$224.9M -$2.30 $23.8M -4.7% -7.5%
FY2024 $4.4B $39.5M $0.40 -$74.6M 1.8% 2.1%
FY2023 $4.0B $79.4M $0.79 $134.5M 3.2% 5.0%
FY2022 $3.6B $65.1M $0.65 $55.0M 2.7% 6.1%
FY2021 $3.1B $106.7M $1.08 $56.3M 3.4% 8.8%
FY2019 $2.6B $15.4M $0.19 $35.6M 2.7% 5.5%
FY2018 $2.3B $15.9M $0.23 $41.0M 3.6% 5.3%
FY2017 $2.1B $20.6M $0.30 $13.6M 3.7% 14.8%
FY2016 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 5.0% ROIC.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is modeled at 12.3% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $11.46 per share.

GO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 12.3% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, GO's intrinsic value is about $11.46 per share.

Is GO stock undervalued?

At $12.87 (close on Oct 17, 2026), GO trades 12% above its Graham value of $11.46. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generate free cash flow?

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generated $23.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 7 of the last 8 reported years.

What is GO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 9 fiscal years was 5.0%, and average return on equity was 2.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this GO data come from?

From Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 13, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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