Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) intrinsic value & 10-year financials
Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) has a Graham intrinsic value of $31.28 per share. At $8.57 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 73% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 8.0% a year to $8.6B, with an average return on invested capital of 9.3%.
- Graham intrinsic value
- $31.28
- Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
- $8.57
- Price vs Graham value
- 73% below
- Market cap
- $2.6B
- Revenue (FY2025)
- $8.6B
- Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
- 8.0%
- ROIC (10-yr avg)
- 9.3%
- Free cash flow (FY2025)
- -$81.0M
GPK 10-year financial history
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | EPS (diluted) | Free cash flow | Operating margin | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | $8.6B | $444.0M | $1.48 | -$81.0M | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| FY2024 | $8.8B | $658.0M | $2.16 | -$329.0M | 12.8% | 10.9% |
| FY2023 | $9.4B | $723.0M | $2.34 | $363.0M | 12.5% | 12.6% |
| FY2022 | $9.4B | $522.0M | $1.69 | $568.0M | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| FY2021 | $7.1B | $204.0M | $0.68 | -$166.0M | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| FY2020 | $6.5B | $167.3M | $0.60 | $208.6M | 8.0% | 9.7% |
| FY2019 | $6.1B | $206.8M | $0.70 | $334.9M | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| FY2018 | $6.0B | $221.1M | $0.71 | -$752.6M | 7.6% | 9.4% |
| FY2017 | $4.4B | $300.2M | $0.96 | $275.3M | 7.8% | 10.5% |
| FY2016 | $4.3B | $228.0M | $0.71 | $362.8M | 9.3% | 9.1% |
Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.
Executive summary
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 8.0% annually over the past decade.
GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO returns on capital have been average, hovering around 9.3% ROIC over the decade.
Over the decade, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.
Benjamin Graham lens
Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $31.28 per share.