Packaging Corp. Of America (PKG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials
Packaging Corp. Of America (PKG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $163.44 per share. At $236.00 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 44% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 5.0% a year to $9.0B, with an average return on invested capital of 14.7%.
- Graham intrinsic value
- $163.44
- Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
- $236.00
- Price vs Graham value
- 44% above
- Market cap
- $21.1B
- Revenue (FY2025)
- $9.0B
- Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
- 5.0%
- ROIC (10-yr avg)
- 14.7%
- Free cash flow (FY2025)
- $728.6M
PKG 10-year financial history
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | EPS (diluted) | Free cash flow | Operating margin | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | $9.0B | $774.1M | $8.58 | $728.6M | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| FY2024 | $8.4B | $805.1M | $8.93 | $521.5M | 13.1% | 13.0% |
| FY2023 | $7.8B | $765.2M | $8.48 | $845.4M | 13.8% | 13.0% |
| FY2022 | $8.5B | $1.0B | $11.03 | $670.8M | 16.8% | 18.3% |
| FY2021 | $7.7B | $841.1M | $8.83 | $489.0M | 16.1% | 17.8% |
| FY2020 | $6.7B | $461.0M | $4.84 | $611.6M | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| FY2019 | $7.0B | $696.4M | $7.34 | $807.9M | 15.1% | 16.2% |
| FY2018 | $7.0B | $738.0M | $7.80 | $628.7M | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| FY2017 | $6.4B | $668.6M | $7.07 | $513.1M | 14.4% | 17.2% |
| FY2016 | $5.8B | $449.6M | $4.75 | $526.9M | 13.5% | 12.2% |
Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.
Executive summary
Packaging Corporation of America has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 5.0% annually over the past decade.
Packaging Corporation of America returns on capital have been average, hovering around 14.7% ROIC over the decade.
Over the decade, Packaging Corporation of America shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.
Benjamin Graham lens
Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Packaging Corporation of America is modeled at 6.8% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $163.44 per share.