Green Thumb Industries Inc. (GTBIF) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Green Thumb Industries Inc. (GTBIF) has a Graham intrinsic value of $15.94 per share. At $6.11 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 62% below that value. Over the last 9 fiscal years revenue grew 52.1% a year to $1.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 2.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$15.94
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$6.11
Price vs Graham value
62% below
Market cap
$1.4B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.2B
Revenue growth (9-yr CAGR)
52.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
2.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$213.9M

GTBIF 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.2B $114.2M $0.48 $213.9M 11.7% 3.2%
FY2024 $1.1B $73.1M $0.30 $115.0M 19.7% 5.3%
FY2023 $1.1B $36.3M $0.15 $4.9M 17.5% 4.5%
FY2022 $1.0B $12.0M $0.05 -$20.9M 11.9% 3.2%
FY2021 $893.6M $75.4M $0.33 -$55.8M 24.0% 7.4%
FY2020 $556.6M $15.0M $0.07 $36.1M 19.1% 5.3%
FY2019 $216.4M -$59.1M -$0.31 -$106.6M -12.8% -2.9%
FY2018 $62.5M -$5.2M -$0.04 -$45.1M -42.1% -6.5%
FY2017 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Green Thumb Industries Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Green Thumb Industries Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 3.7% ROIC.

Green Thumb Industries Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Green Thumb Industries Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $15.94 per share.

GTBIF stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Green Thumb Industries Inc. (GTBIF) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, GTBIF's intrinsic value is about $15.94 per share.

Is GTBIF stock undervalued?

At $6.11 (close on Oct 17, 2026), GTBIF trades 62% below its Graham value of $15.94. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Green Thumb Industries Inc. generate free cash flow?

Green Thumb Industries Inc. generated $213.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 8 reported years.

What is GTBIF's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 9 fiscal years was 2.4%, and average return on equity was 1.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this GTBIF data come from?

From Green Thumb Industries Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 4, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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