Kratos Defense & Security SOLUTIONS, Inc. (KTOS) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Kratos Defense & Security SOLUTIONS, Inc. (KTOS) has a Graham intrinsic value of $1.59 per share. At $40.42 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 2442% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 10.6% a year to $1.3B, with an average return on invested capital of 0.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$1.59
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$40.42
Price vs Graham value
2442% above
Market cap
$6.7B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.3B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
10.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
0.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$137.4M

KTOS 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.3B $22.0M $0.13 -$137.4M 1.9% 1.2%
FY2024 $1.1B $16.3M $0.11 -$8.5M 2.6% 1.4%
FY2023 $1.0B -$8.9M -$0.07 $12.8M 3.0% -0.7%
FY2022 $898.3M -$36.9M -$0.29 -$71.1M -0.3% -0.2%
FY2021 $811.5M -$2.0M -$0.02 -$11.2M 3.4% 1.5%
FY2020 $747.7M $79.6M $0.67 $8.8M 3.9% 3.5%
FY2019 $717.5M $12.5M $0.11 — 5.3% 3.9%
FY2018 $618.0M -$3.5M -$0.03 — 4.9% 2.3%
FY2017 $603.3M -$42.7M -$0.48 — -1.0% -0.7%
FY2016 $541.9M -$60.5M -$0.99 — -3.4% -2.9%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS, INC. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 10.6% annually over the past decade.

KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS, INC. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 0.9% ROIC.

KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS, INC. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS, INC. is modeled at 2.8% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $1.59 per share.

KTOS stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Kratos Defense & Security SOLUTIONS, Inc. (KTOS) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 2.8% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, KTOS's intrinsic value is about $1.59 per share.

Is KTOS stock undervalued?

At $40.42 (close on Oct 17, 2026), KTOS trades 2442% above its Graham value of $1.59. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Kratos Defense & Security SOLUTIONS, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $541.9M in fiscal 2016 to $1.3B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 10.6%. Net income was $22.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Kratos Defense & Security SOLUTIONS, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Kratos Defense & Security SOLUTIONS, Inc. generated -$137.4M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 2 of the last 6 reported years.

What is KTOS's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 0.9%, and average return on equity was -2.3%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this KTOS data come from?

From Kratos Defense & Security SOLUTIONS, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 4, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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