Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $801.49 per share. At $289.43 on Oct 16, 2026, the stock trades 64% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 35.3% a year to $19.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 13.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$801.49
Share price (Oct 16, 2026)
$289.43
Price vs Graham value
64% below
Market cap
$63.8B
Revenue (FY2025)
$19.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
35.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
13.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$2.5B

LNG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $19.5B $5.3B $24.13 $2.5B 46.8% 23.3%
FY2024 $15.4B $3.3B $14.20 $3.2B 39.8% 18.4%
FY2023 $19.8B $9.9B $40.72 $6.3B 78.3% 54.1%
FY2022 $33.3B $1.4B $5.64 $8.7B 13.7% 14.6%
FY2021 $17.5B -$2.3B -$9.25 $1.5B -4.0% -1.9%
FY2020 $9.3B -$85.0M -$0.34 -$574.0M 28.3% 9.0%
FY2019 $9.2B $648.0M $2.51 -$1.2B 25.8% 8.3%
FY2018 $7.9B $471.0M $1.90 -$1.7B 25.8% 7.5%
FY2017 $5.6B -$393.0M -$1.68 -$2.1B 24.7% 6.3%
FY2016 $1.3B -$610.0M -$2.67 -$4.8B -2.3% -0.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Cheniere Energy, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 35.3% annually over the past decade.

Cheniere Energy, Inc. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 13.9% ROIC over the decade.

Cheniere Energy, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Cheniere Energy, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $801.49 per share.

LNG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, LNG's intrinsic value is about $801.49 per share.

Is LNG stock undervalued?

At $289.43 (close on Oct 16, 2026), LNG trades 64% below its Graham value of $801.49. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Cheniere Energy, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.3B in fiscal 2016 to $19.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 35.3%. Net income was $5.3B in fiscal 2025.

Does Cheniere Energy, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Cheniere Energy, Inc. generated $2.5B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 5 of the last 10 reported years.

What is LNG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 13.9%, and average return on equity was 107.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this LNG data come from?

From Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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