Northwest Natural Holding Co. (NWN) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Northwest Natural Holding Co. (NWN) has a Graham intrinsic value of $34.75 per share. At $48.99 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 41% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 6.8% a year to $1.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 6.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$34.75
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$48.99
Price vs Graham value
41% above
Market cap
$2.0B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.2B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
6.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
6.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$197.8M

NWN 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.2B $113.3M $2.77 -$197.8M 23.2% 5.8%
FY2024 $1.1B $78.9M $2.03 -$194.1M 17.1% 4.5%
FY2023 $1.2B $93.9M $2.59 -$47.4M 15.8% 5.0%
FY2022 $1.0B $86.3M $2.54 -$190.9M 16.1% 5.4%
FY2021 $828.2M $78.7M $2.56 -$133.5M 19.7% 6.1%
FY2020 $744.4M $76.8M $2.51 -$130.0M 19.9% 6.4%
FY2019 $756.0M $61.7M $2.07 -$38.2M 19.0% 7.4%
FY2018 $696.2M $64.6M $2.24 -$45.9M 19.0% 6.4%
FY2017 $755.0M -$55.6M -$1.93 -$6.6M 20.0% 9.9%
FY2016 $668.2M $58.9M $2.12 $83.8M 22.6% 10.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Northwest Natural Holding Co has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 6.8% annually over the past decade.

Northwest Natural Holding Co has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 6.7% ROIC.

Northwest Natural Holding Co has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Northwest Natural Holding Co is modeled at 3.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $34.75 per share.

NWN stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Northwest Natural Holding Co. (NWN) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 3.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NWN's intrinsic value is about $34.75 per share.

Is NWN stock undervalued?

At $48.99 (close on Oct 17, 2026), NWN trades 41% above its Graham value of $34.75. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Northwest Natural Holding Co. grown?

Revenue went from $668.2M in fiscal 2016 to $1.2B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 6.8%. Net income was $113.3M in fiscal 2025.

Does Northwest Natural Holding Co. generate free cash flow?

Northwest Natural Holding Co. generated -$197.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 1 of the last 10 reported years.

What is NWN's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 6.7%, and average return on equity was 6.3%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NWN data come from?

From Northwest Natural Holding Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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