New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) has a Graham intrinsic value of $88.02 per share. At $4.15 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 95% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 39.5% a year to $1.2B, with an average return on invested capital of -5.2%.

Graham intrinsic value
$88.02
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$4.15
Price vs Graham value
95% below
Market cap
$1.2B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.2B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
39.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-5.2%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$1.2B

NFE 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.2B -$1.8B -$6.63 -$1.2B -95.0% -11.7%
FY2024 $1.7B -$242.4M -$1.25 -$2.0B 31.7% 5.5%
FY2023 $2.1B $547.9M $2.65 -$2.2B 45.8% 11.0%
FY2022 $2.0B $194.5M $0.93 -$818.9M 37.3% 13.2%
FY2021 $930.8M $97.1M $0.47 -$584.6M 25.7% 6.2%
FY2020 $318.3M -$182.1M -$1.71 -$282.6M -48.8% -17.5%
FY2019 $145.5M -$33.8M -$1.62 -$611.3M -128.7% -32.5%
FY2018 $96.9M -$78.1M — -$274.4M -60.4% -12.2%
FY2017 $82.1M -$31.7M — -$83.6M -30.4% -8.8%
FY2016 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

New Fortress Energy Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

New Fortress Energy Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -5.2% ROIC.

New Fortress Energy Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, New Fortress Energy Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $88.02 per share.

NFE stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NFE's intrinsic value is about $88.02 per share.

Is NFE stock undervalued?

At $4.15 (close on Oct 17, 2026), NFE trades 95% below its Graham value of $88.02. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does New Fortress Energy Inc. generate free cash flow?

New Fortress Energy Inc. generated -$1.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 9 reported years.

What is NFE's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -5.2%, and average return on equity was -30.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NFE data come from?

From New Fortress Energy Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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