Medifast Inc. (MED) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Medifast Inc. (MED) has a Graham intrinsic value of $2.66 per share. At $11.88 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 347% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.9% a year to $385.8M, with an average return on invested capital of 129.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$2.66
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$11.88
Price vs Graham value
347% above
Market cap
$130.5M
Revenue (FY2025)
$385.8M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
129.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$1.2M

MED 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $385.8M -$18.7M -$1.70 $1.2M -3.7% -11.6%
FY2024 $602.5M $2.1M $0.19 $17.0M 0.5% 1.3%
FY2023 $1.1B $99.4M $9.10 $141.2M 11.8% 92.6%
FY2022 $1.6B $143.6M $12.73 $177.9M 11.6% 136.0%
FY2021 $1.5B $164.0M $13.89 $60.3M 14.2% 261.9%
FY2020 $934.8M $102.9M $8.68 $139.3M 14.4% 523.0%
FY2019 $713.7M $77.9M $6.43 $74.2M 12.8% 200.6%
FY2018 $501.0M $55.8M $4.62 $55.9M 13.8% 50.2%
FY2017 $301.6M $27.7M $2.29 $40.0M 13.1% 26.6%
FY2016 $274.5M $17.8M $1.49 $22.5M 9.8% 18.4%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

MEDIFAST INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.9% annually over the past decade.

MEDIFAST INC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 32.3% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

MEDIFAST INC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, MEDIFAST INC is modeled at 3.9% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $2.66 per share.

MED stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Medifast Inc. (MED) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 3.9% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MED's intrinsic value is about $2.66 per share.

Is MED stock undervalued?

At $11.88 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MED trades 347% above its Graham value of $2.66. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Medifast Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $274.5M in fiscal 2016 to $385.8M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 3.9%. Net income was -$18.7M in fiscal 2025.

Does Medifast Inc. generate free cash flow?

Medifast Inc. generated $1.2M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is MED's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 129.9%, and average return on equity was 46.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MED data come from?

From Medifast Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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