MGE ENERGY INC (MGEE) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

MGE ENERGY INC (MGEE) has a Graham intrinsic value of $70.80 per share. At $72.27 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 2% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 6.8% a year to $743.7M, with an average return on invested capital of 7.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$70.80
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$72.27
Price vs Graham value
2% above
Market cap
$2.6B
Revenue (FY2025)
$743.7M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
6.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
7.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$80.0M

MGEE 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $743.7M $135.9M $3.72 -$80.0M 22.9% 7.1%
FY2024 $676.9M $120.6M $3.33 $40.9M 21.6% 6.9%
FY2023 $690.4M $117.7M $3.25 $15.5M 21.2% 6.6%
FY2022 $714.5M $111.0M $3.07 -$21.3M 19.3% 6.6%
FY2021 $606.6M $105.8M $2.92 -$15.6M 19.3% 7.2%
FY2020 $538.6M $92.4M $2.60 -$30.7M 20.4% 6.3%
FY2019 $568.9M $86.9M $2.51 -$33.6M 19.5% 6.9%
FY2018 $559.8M $84.2M — -$59.2M 20.4% 7.4%
FY2017 $414.3M $97.6M — $24.9M 31.1% 10.0%
FY2016 $410.2M $75.6M — $63.9M 31.3% 8.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

MGE ENERGY INC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 6.8% annually over the past decade.

MGE ENERGY INC has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 7.3% ROIC.

Over the decade, MGE ENERGY INC shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, MGE ENERGY INC is modeled at 6.8% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $70.80 per share.

MGEE stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of MGE ENERGY INC (MGEE) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 6.8% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MGEE's intrinsic value is about $70.80 per share.

Is MGEE stock undervalued?

At $72.27 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MGEE trades 2% above its Graham value of $70.80. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has MGE ENERGY INC grown?

Revenue went from $410.2M in fiscal 2016 to $743.7M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 6.8%. Net income was $135.9M in fiscal 2025.

Does MGE ENERGY INC generate free cash flow?

MGE ENERGY INC generated -$80.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 10 reported years.

What is MGEE's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 7.3%, and average return on equity was 10.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MGEE data come from?

From MGE ENERGY INC's annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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