Molina HEALTHCARE, Inc. (MOH) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Molina HEALTHCARE, Inc. (MOH) has a Graham intrinsic value of $296.28 per share. At $204.79 on Oct 27, 2026, the stock trades 31% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 11.0% a year to $45.4B, with an average return on invested capital of 78.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
$296.28
Share price (Oct 27, 2026)
$204.79
Price vs Graham value
31% below
Market cap
$10.8B
Revenue (FY2025)
$45.4B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
11.0%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
78.8%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$636.0M

MOH 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $45.4B $472.0M $8.92 -$636.0M 1.7% 18.3%
FY2024 $40.6B $1.2B $20.42 $544.0M 4.2% 52.2%
FY2023 $34.1B $1.1B $18.77 $1.6B 4.6% 71.8%
FY2022 $32.0B $792.0M $13.55 $682.0M 3.7% 82.9%
FY2021 $27.8B $659.0M $11.25 $2.0B 3.7% 150.8%
FY2020 $19.4B $673.0M $11.23 $1.8B 5.6% 109.6%
FY2019 $16.8B $737.0M $11.47 $370.0M 6.2% 119.8%
FY2018 $18.9B $707.0M $10.61 -$344.0M 6.0% 267.3%
FY2017 $19.9B -$512.0M -$9.07 $718.0M -2.8% -116.8%
FY2016 $17.8B $52.0M $0.92 $497.0M 1.7% 32.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 11.0% annually over the past decade.

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 37.4% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $296.28 per share.

MOH stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Molina HEALTHCARE, Inc. (MOH) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MOH's intrinsic value is about $296.28 per share.

Is MOH stock undervalued?

At $204.79 (close on Oct 27, 2026), MOH trades 31% below its Graham value of $296.28. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Molina HEALTHCARE, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $17.8B in fiscal 2016 to $45.4B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 11.0%. Net income was $472.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Molina HEALTHCARE, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Molina HEALTHCARE, Inc. generated -$636.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 10 reported years.

What is MOH's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 78.8%, and average return on equity was 21.5%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MOH data come from?

From Molina HEALTHCARE, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 23, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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