Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc. (OCUL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc. (OCUL) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 44.5% a year to $52.0M, with an average return on invested capital of 66.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$6.87
Market cap
$1.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$52.0M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
44.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
66.8%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$216.9M

OCUL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $52.0M -$265.9M -$1.42 -$216.9M -519.8% 356.8%
FY2024 $63.7M -$193.5M -$1.22 -$136.0M -269.6% 203.0%
FY2023 $58.4M -$80.7M -$1.02 -$76.3M -141.0% 105.6%
FY2022 $51.5M -$71.0M -$0.97 -$63.3M -152.7% 122.4%
FY2021 $43.5M -$6.6M -$0.98 -$66.7M -179.3% 72.7%
FY2020 $17.4M -$155.6M -$2.56 -$54.4M -361.1% 64.9%
FY2019 $4.2M -$86.4M -$1.91 -$79.8M -2029.9% 174.5%
FY2018 $2.0M -$60.0M — -$51.1M -2970.8% -190.6%
FY2017 $1.9M -$63.4M — -$58.7M -3220.1% -158.5%
FY2016 $1.9M -$44.7M — -$35.9M -2296.0% -83.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 44.5% annually over the past decade.

OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 28.6% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-47.17 per share.

OCUL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc. (OCUL) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc. reported diluted EPS of -$1.42 in fiscal 2025, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

How fast has Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.9M in fiscal 2016 to $52.0M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 44.5%. Net income was -$265.9M in fiscal 2025.

Does Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc. generated -$216.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 10 reported years.

What is OCUL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 66.8%, and average return on equity was -180.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this OCUL data come from?

From Ocular THERAPEUTIX, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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