Orion Group Holdings Inc. (ORN) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Orion Group Holdings Inc. (ORN) has a Graham intrinsic value of $1.99 per share. At $8.52 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 328% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.9% a year to $852.3M, with an average return on invested capital of -2.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$1.99
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$8.52
Price vs Graham value
328% above
Market cap
$337.7M
Revenue (FY2025)
$852.3M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-2.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$10.8M

ORN 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $852.3M $2.5M $0.06 -$10.8M 1.7% 6.7%
FY2024 $796.4M -$1.6M -$0.05 -$1.4M 1.4% 6.9%
FY2023 $711.8M -$17.9M -$0.55 $8.3M -0.9% -3.8%
FY2022 $748.3M -$12.6M -$0.40 -$5.0M -1.1% -4.1%
FY2021 $601.4M -$14.6M -$0.47 -$16.9M -1.5% -4.5%
FY2020 $709.9M $20.2M $0.67 $31.3M 3.7% 11.0%
FY2019 $708.4M -$5.4M -$0.18 -$17.9M 0.3% 1.0%
FY2018 $520.9M -$94.4M -$3.31 $4.2M -19.3% -35.8%
FY2017 $578.6M $400.0K $0.01 $23.4M 0.3% 0.3%
FY2016 $602.5M -$3.6M -$0.13 $4.4M 0.7% 1.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Orion Group Holdings Inc has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.9% annually over the past decade.

Orion Group Holdings Inc has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -2.1% ROIC.

Orion Group Holdings Inc has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Orion Group Holdings Inc is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $1.99 per share.

ORN stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Orion Group Holdings Inc. (ORN) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ORN's intrinsic value is about $1.99 per share.

Is ORN stock undervalued?

At $8.52 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ORN trades 328% above its Graham value of $1.99. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Orion Group Holdings Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $602.5M in fiscal 2016 to $852.3M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 3.9%. Net income was $2.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does Orion Group Holdings Inc. generate free cash flow?

Orion Group Holdings Inc. generated -$10.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 5 of the last 10 reported years.

What is ORN's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -2.1%, and average return on equity was -7.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ORN data come from?

From Orion Group Holdings Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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