PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) has a Graham intrinsic value of $222.39 per share. At $8.39 on Oct 27, 2026, the stock trades 96% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 44.7% a year to $18.8B, with an average return on invested capital of 29.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$222.39
Share price (Oct 27, 2026)
$8.39
Price vs Graham value
96% below
Market cap
$2.7B
Revenue (FY2024)
$18.8B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
44.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
29.4%
Free cash flow (FY2024)
-$4.5B

PAGS 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2024 $18.8B $2.1B $6.70 -$4.5B — 14.7%
FY2023 $15.9B $1.7B $5.14 $3.0B — 16.1%
FY2022 $15.3B $1.5B $4.60 $2.5B — 15.3%
FY2021 $10.4B $1.2B $3.53 -$74.3M — 13.4%
FY2020 $6.8B $1.3B $3.92 $629.9M — 16.8%
FY2019 $5.7B $1.4B $4.15 $151.3M — 18.7%
FY2018 $4.3B $910.4M $2.86 -$1.8B — 113.3%
FY2017 $2.5B $478.8M $1.83 $445.7M — 61.6%
FY2016 $1.1B $127.8M $0.48 $75.0M — 17.0%
FY2015 $674.9M $35.5M — $44.4M — 7.7%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 44.7% annually over the past decade.

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 33.5% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, PagSeguro Digital Ltd. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 99.9% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, PagSeguro Digital Ltd. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $222.39 per share.

PAGS stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, PAGS's intrinsic value is about $222.39 per share.

Is PAGS stock undervalued?

At $8.39 (close on Oct 27, 2026), PAGS trades 96% below its Graham value of $222.39. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has PagSeguro Digital Ltd. grown?

Revenue went from $674.9M in fiscal 2015 to $18.8B in fiscal 2024, a compound annual growth rate of 44.7%. Net income was $2.1B in fiscal 2024.

Does PagSeguro Digital Ltd. generate free cash flow?

PagSeguro Digital Ltd. generated -$4.5B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2024. Free cash flow was positive in 7 of the last 10 reported years.

What is PAGS's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 29.4%, and average return on equity was 20.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this PAGS data come from?

From PagSeguro Digital Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jun 4, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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