PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) has a Graham intrinsic value of $62.11 per share. At $16.16 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 74% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 25.6% a year to $492.5M, with an average return on invested capital of -5.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
$62.11
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$16.16
Price vs Graham value
74% below
Market cap
$1.5B
Revenue (FY2026)
$492.5M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
25.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-5.8%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$111.9M

PD 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $492.5M $173.4M $1.87 $111.9M 1.2% 1.6%
FY2025 $467.5M -$42.7M -$0.59 $115.1M -12.8% -20.5%
FY2024 $430.7M -$75.2M -$0.89 $69.8M -22.3% -33.1%
FY2023 $370.8M -$128.4M -$1.45 $12.3M -34.9% -50.0%
FY2022 $281.4M -$107.5M -$1.27 -$9.5M -36.1% -34.1%
FY2021 $213.6M -$68.9M -$0.87 $6.1M -31.0% -17.5%
FY2020 $166.4M -$50.3M -$0.77 -$5.3M -33.4% -46.5%
FY2019 $117.8M -$40.7M — -$9.3M -35.9% 67.6%
FY2018 $79.6M -$38.1M — -$12.7M -48.1% 80.7%
FY2017 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

PagerDuty, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

PagerDuty, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -5.8% ROIC.

PagerDuty, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, PagerDuty, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $62.11 per share.

PD stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, PD's intrinsic value is about $62.11 per share.

Is PD stock undervalued?

At $16.16 (close on Oct 17, 2026), PD trades 74% below its Graham value of $62.11. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does PagerDuty, Inc. generate free cash flow?

PagerDuty, Inc. generated $111.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 5 of the last 9 reported years.

What is PD's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -5.8%, and average return on equity was 2.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this PD data come from?

From PagerDuty, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 28, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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