Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) has a Graham intrinsic value of $30.89 per share. At $17.23 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 44% below that value. Over the last 7 fiscal years revenue grew 68.9% a year to $1.3B, with an average return on invested capital of -73.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$30.89
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$17.23
Price vs Graham value
44% below
Market cap
$1.4B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.3B
Revenue growth (7-yr CAGR)
68.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-73.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$224.7M

PGY 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.3B $81.4M $0.93 $224.7M 20.9% —
FY2024 $1.0B -$401.4M -$5.66 $48.8M 6.7% 14.1%
FY2023 $772.8M -$128.4M -$2.14 -$10.6M -3.2% -6.0%
FY2022 $685.4M -$302.3M -$0.69 -$62.4M -36.7% -304.5%
FY2021 $445.9M -$91.2M -$0.69 $43.2M -1.3% 3.1%
FY2020 $91.7M $14.5M $0.02 $3.2M 23.2% —
FY2019 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 2.0% ROIC.

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $30.89 per share.

PGY stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, PGY's intrinsic value is about $30.89 per share.

Is PGY stock undervalued?

At $17.23 (close on Oct 17, 2026), PGY trades 44% below its Graham value of $30.89. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Pagaya Technologies Ltd. generate free cash flow?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. generated $224.7M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 6 reported years.

What is PGY's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 7 fiscal years was -73.3%, and average return on equity was -63.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this PGY data come from?

From Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 30, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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