FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) has a Graham intrinsic value of $9.80 per share. At $5.92 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 40% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 0.5% a year to $500.7M, with an average return on invested capital of -55.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$9.80
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$5.92
Price vs Graham value
40% below
Market cap
$200.0M
Revenue (FY2025)
$500.7M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-0.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-55.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$31.4M

RAIL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $500.7M $38.1M $1.09 $31.4M 6.8% -58.3%
FY2024 $557.7M -$75.8M -$3.12 $39.9M 6.7% -149.7%
FY2023 $356.8M -$23.6M -$1.18 -$8.0M 2.9% 43.9%
FY2022 $361.5M -$38.8M -$1.56 $3.7M -4.2% -23.3%
FY2021 $199.8M -$41.4M -$2.00 -$57.7M -11.4% -38.4%
FY2020 $104.1M -$84.4M -$6.29 -$68.8M -77.5% -97.6%
FY2019 $223.5M -$75.2M -$5.95 -$24.6M -33.8% -65.7%
FY2018 $310.6M -$40.6M -$3.26 -$33.8M -10.3% —
FY2017 $407.2M -$22.6M -$1.82 $39.4M -7.8% —
FY2016 $523.7M $12.3M $1.00 -$13.6M 3.0% —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

FreightCar America, Inc. is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

FreightCar America, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -55.6% ROIC.

FreightCar America, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, FreightCar America, Inc. is modeled at 1.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $9.80 per share.

RAIL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 1.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, RAIL's intrinsic value is about $9.80 per share.

Is RAIL stock undervalued?

At $5.92 (close on Oct 17, 2026), RAIL trades 40% below its Graham value of $9.80. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has FreightCar America, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $523.7M in fiscal 2016 to $500.7M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of -0.5%. Net income was $38.1M in fiscal 2025.

Does FreightCar America, Inc. generate free cash flow?

FreightCar America, Inc. generated $31.4M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 10 reported years.

What is RAIL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -55.6%, and average return on equity was -10.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this RAIL data come from?

From FreightCar America, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 3, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

Similar railroad equipment stocks