Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) intrinsic value & 10-year financials
Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) has a Graham intrinsic value of $40.47 per share. At $25.22 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 38% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 3.9% a year to $2.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 17.4%.
- Graham intrinsic value
- $40.47
- Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
- $25.22
- Price vs Graham value
- 38% below
- Market cap
- $2.1B
- Revenue (FY2025)
- $2.2B
- Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
- -3.9%
- ROIC (10-yr avg)
- 17.4%
- Free cash flow (FY2025)
- $314.1M
TRN 10-year financial history
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | EPS (diluted) | Free cash flow | Operating margin | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | $2.2B | $253.1M | $3.05 | $314.1M | 30.1% | 44.7% |
| FY2024 | $3.1B | $138.4M | $1.64 | $520.0M | 16.0% | 34.4% |
| FY2023 | $3.0B | $106.0M | $1.27 | $254.3M | 14.0% | 24.7% |
| FY2022 | $2.0B | $60.1M | $0.71 | -$50.8M | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| FY2021 | $1.5B | $182.0M | $1.75 | $588.2M | 16.9% | 14.2% |
| FY2020 | $2.0B | -$147.3M | -$1.27 | $549.4M | -6.2% | -2.8% |
| FY2019 | $3.0B | $137.6M | $1.07 | $296.6M | 13.9% | 11.9% |
| FY2018 | $2.5B | $159.3M | $1.07 | $341.8M | 12.6% | 7.1% |
| FY2017 | $2.4B | $702.5M | $4.52 | $657.2M | 22.9% | 12.5% |
| FY2016 | $3.1B | $343.6M | $2.25 | $955.9M | 24.0% | 11.1% |
Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.
Executive summary
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 17.4% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.
Over the decade, TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 44.2% of outstanding shares.
Benjamin Graham lens
Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC is modeled at 3.4% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $40.47 per share.