Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) has a Graham intrinsic value of $4.70 per share. At $9.31 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 98% above that value. Over the last 5 fiscal years revenue reached to -$7.5M, with an average return on invested capital of 9.5%.

Graham intrinsic value
$4.70
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$9.31
Price vs Graham value
98% above
Market cap
$199.5M
Revenue (FY2025)
-$7.5M
ROIC (10-yr avg)
9.5%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

REFI 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 -$7.5M $36.0M $1.68 — — 10.7%
FY2024 -$7.2M $37.0M $1.88 — — 11.2%
FY2023 -$5.8M $38.7M $2.11 — — —
FY2022 $48.9M $32.3M $1.82 — — 6.6%
FY2021 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 9.5% ROIC over the decade.

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. is modeled at -2.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $4.70 per share.

REFI stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -2.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, REFI's intrinsic value is about $4.70 per share.

Is REFI stock undervalued?

At $9.31 (close on Oct 17, 2026), REFI trades 98% above its Graham value of $4.70. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

What is REFI's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 5 fiscal years was 9.5%, and average return on equity was 12.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this REFI data come from?

From Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 11, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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