Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) has a Graham intrinsic value of $23.68 per share. At $69.99 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 196% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 20.6% a year to $1.4B, with an average return on invested capital of 2.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$23.68
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$69.99
Price vs Graham value
196% above
Market cap
$2.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.4B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
20.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
2.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$56.5M

SHAK 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.4B $45.7M $1.09 $56.5M 4.3% 4.4%
FY2024 $1.3B $10.2M $0.24 $35.7M 0.2% 0.2%
FY2023 $1.1B $20.3M $0.48 -$14.0M 0.5% 0.7%
FY2022 $900.5M -$24.1M -$0.61 -$65.8M -3.0% -3.4%
FY2021 $739.9M -$8.7M -$0.22 -$43.1M -2.1% -1.3%
FY2020 $522.9M -$42.2M -$1.14 -$31.7M -8.4% -7.4%
FY2019 $594.5M $19.8M $0.61 -$16.6M 4.3% 5.7%
FY2018 $459.3M $15.2M $0.52 -$2.1M 6.9% 9.9%
FY2017 $358.8M -$320.0K -$0.01 $9.3M 9.4% —
FY2016 $268.5M $12.4M $0.53 -$148.0K 10.4% 13.1%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Shake Shack Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 20.6% annually over the past decade.

Shake Shack Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 2.4% ROIC.

Over the decade, Shake Shack Inc. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Shake Shack Inc. is modeled at 8.3% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $23.68 per share.

SHAK stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.3% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, SHAK's intrinsic value is about $23.68 per share.

Is SHAK stock undervalued?

At $69.99 (close on Oct 17, 2026), SHAK trades 196% above its Graham value of $23.68. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Shake Shack Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $268.5M in fiscal 2016 to $1.4B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 20.6%. Net income was $45.7M in fiscal 2025.

Does Shake Shack Inc. generate free cash flow?

Shake Shack Inc. generated $56.5M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 3 of the last 10 reported years.

What is SHAK's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 2.4%, and average return on equity was 1.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SHAK data come from?

From Shake Shack Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 5, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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