Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) has a Graham intrinsic value of $23.25 per share. At $15.46 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 34% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 17.5% a year to $274.8M, with an average return on invested capital of 13.5%.

Graham intrinsic value
$23.25
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$15.46
Price vs Graham value
34% below
Market cap
$1.5B
Revenue (FY2025)
$274.8M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
17.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
13.5%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$73.3M

TH 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $274.8M -$37.1M -$0.37 $73.3M -12.6% -9.7%
FY2024 $265.9M $71.3M $0.70 $151.0M 40.9% 24.4%
FY2023 $365.6M $173.7M $1.56 $153.7M 65.8% 46.4%
FY2022 $333.7M $73.9M $0.74 $285.1M 52.3% 32.2%
FY2021 $214.4M -$4.6M -$0.05 $104.2M 17.3% 8.5%
FY2020 $172.2M -$27.5M -$0.26 $46.4M 2.4% 0.6%
FY2019 $261.3M $6.2M $0.13 $60.1M 18.4% 8.8%
FY2018 $186.9M $4.0M — -$1.6M -0.9% -3.2%
FY2017 $75.4M $981.0K — $39.9M 28.5% —
FY2016 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Target Hospitality Corp. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Target Hospitality Corp. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 13.5% ROIC over the decade.

Target Hospitality Corp. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Target Hospitality Corp. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $23.25 per share.

TH stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TH's intrinsic value is about $23.25 per share.

Is TH stock undervalued?

At $15.46 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TH trades 34% below its Graham value of $23.25. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Target Hospitality Corp. generate free cash flow?

Target Hospitality Corp. generated $73.3M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 9 reported years.

What is TH's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 13.5%, and average return on equity was 28.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TH data come from?

From Target Hospitality Corp.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 10, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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