TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $17.60 per share. At $25.37 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 44% above that value. Over the last 5 fiscal years revenue grew 17.3% a year to $248.5M, with an average return on invested capital of -30.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
$17.60
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$25.37
Price vs Graham value
44% above
Market cap
$383.1M
Revenue (FY2025)
$248.5M
Revenue growth (5-yr CAGR)
17.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-30.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$53.1M

TWFG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $248.5M $41.2M $0.53 $53.1M 14.9% -38.4%
FY2024 $203.8M $2.7M $0.19 $37.3M 13.7% -52.7%
FY2023 $172.0M $0 — $29.9M 14.8% 0.0%
FY2022 $153.9M $0 — $25.6M 15.4% —
FY2021 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

TWFG, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

TWFG, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -30.4% ROIC.

TWFG, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, TWFG, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $17.60 per share.

TWFG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TWFG's intrinsic value is about $17.60 per share.

Is TWFG stock undervalued?

At $25.37 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TWFG trades 44% above its Graham value of $17.60. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does TWFG, Inc. generate free cash flow?

TWFG, Inc. generated $53.1M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 4 reported years.

What is TWFG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 5 fiscal years was -30.4%, and average return on equity was 19.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TWFG data come from?

From TWFG, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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