American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.5% a year to $54.6B, with an average return on invested capital of -203.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$11.88
Market cap
$7.9B
Revenue (FY2025)
$54.6B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-203.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$680.0M

AAL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $54.6B $111.0M $0.17 -$680.0M 2.7% —
FY2024 $54.2B $846.0M $1.24 $1.3B 4.8% —
FY2023 $52.8B $822.0M $1.21 $1.2B 5.7% —
FY2022 $49.0B $127.0M $0.19 -$373.0M 3.3% —
FY2021 $29.9B -$2.0B -$3.09 $496.0M -3.5% —
FY2020 $17.3B -$8.9B -$18.36 -$8.5B -60.1% —
FY2019 $45.8B $1.7B $3.79 -$453.0M 6.7% —
FY2018 $44.5B $1.4B $3.03 -$212.0M 6.0% —
FY2017 $42.6B $1.9B $3.90 -$1.2B 9.5% —
FY2016 $40.1B $2.7B $4.81 $793.0M 13.2% —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

ANGLO AMERICAN PLC has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.5% annually over the past decade.

ANGLO AMERICAN PLC is a financial franchise; ROE cannot be assessed from the available history, and industrial ROIC is not used as a moat proxy.

ANGLO AMERICAN PLC has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, ANGLO AMERICAN PLC is modeled at -31.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-7.85 per share.

AAL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. American Airlines Group Inc. reported diluted EPS of $0.17 in fiscal 2025, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

How fast has American Airlines Group Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $40.1B in fiscal 2016 to $54.6B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 3.5%. Net income was $111.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does American Airlines Group Inc. generate free cash flow?

American Airlines Group Inc. generated -$680.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 10 reported years.

What is AAL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -203.0%, and average return on equity was -73.5%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AAL data come from?

From American Airlines Group Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 23, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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