Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) has a Graham intrinsic value of $7.06 per share. At $4.72 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 33% below that value. Over the last 8 fiscal years revenue grew 6.8% a year to $3.7B, with an average return on invested capital of 5.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$7.06
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$4.72
Price vs Graham value
33% below
Market cap
$1.1B
Revenue (FY2025)
$3.7B
Revenue growth (8-yr CAGR)
6.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
5.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$600.0M

ULCC 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $3.7B -$137.0M -$0.60 -$600.0M -4.0% -3.6%
FY2024 $3.8B $85.0M $0.37 -$158.0M 1.5% 1.8%
FY2023 $3.6B -$11.0M -$0.05 -$312.0M -0.1% -0.1%
FY2022 $3.3B -$37.0M -$0.17 -$119.0M -1.4% -1.8%
FY2021 $2.1B -$102.0M -$0.48 $189.0M -5.7% -4.0%
FY2020 $1.2B -$225.0M -$1.13 -$573.0M -29.2% -10.4%
FY2019 $2.5B $251.0M $1.19 $126.0M 12.3% 58.1%
FY2018 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 5.7% ROIC.

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 6.8% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $7.06 per share.

ULCC stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 6.8% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ULCC's intrinsic value is about $7.06 per share.

Is ULCC stock undervalued?

At $4.72 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ULCC trades 33% below its Graham value of $7.06. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. generated -$600.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 2 of the last 7 reported years.

What is ULCC's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 8 fiscal years was 5.7%, and average return on equity was -5.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ULCC data come from?

From Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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