Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) has a Graham intrinsic value of $231.24 per share. At $288.90 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 25% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 6.6% a year to $21.9B, with an average return on invested capital of 53.2%.

Graham intrinsic value
$231.24
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$288.90
Price vs Graham value
25% above
Market cap
$116.5B
Revenue (FY2026)
$21.9B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
6.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
53.2%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$5.2B

ADP 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $21.9B $4.4B $10.94 $5.2B — 46.5%
FY2025 $20.6B $4.1B $9.98 $4.8B — 48.4%
FY2024 $19.2B $3.8B $9.10 $3.9B — 77.2%
FY2023 $18.0B $3.4B $8.21 $4.0B — 68.8%
FY2022 $16.5B $2.9B $7.00 $2.9B — 51.0%
FY2021 $15.0B $2.6B $6.07 $2.9B — 41.2%
FY2020 $14.6B $2.5B $5.70 $2.9B — 42.4%
FY2019 $14.2B $2.3B $5.24 $2.5B — 52.4%
FY2018 $13.3B $1.6B $3.66 $2.3B — 49.9%
FY2017 $12.4B $1.7B $3.85 $1.9B — 54.2%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Automatic Data Processing has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 6.6% annually over the past decade.

Automatic Data Processing has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 53.2% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, Automatic Data Processing shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 10.4% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Automatic Data Processing is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $231.24 per share.

ADP stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ADP's intrinsic value is about $231.24 per share.

Is ADP stock undervalued?

At $288.90 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ADP trades 25% above its Graham value of $231.24. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Automatic Data Processing Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $12.4B in fiscal 2017 to $21.9B in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 6.6%. Net income was $4.4B in fiscal 2026.

Does Automatic Data Processing Inc. generate free cash flow?

Automatic Data Processing Inc. generated $5.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is ADP's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 53.2%, and average return on equity was 63.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ADP data come from?

From Automatic Data Processing Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 5, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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