AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) has a Graham intrinsic value of $51.48 per share. At $121.79 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 137% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 13.4% a year to $820.6M, with an average return on invested capital of 3.2%.

Graham intrinsic value
$51.48
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$121.79
Price vs Graham value
137% above
Market cap
$3.4B
Revenue (FY2025)
$820.6M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
13.4%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
3.2%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$24.1M

AVAV 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $820.6M $43.6M $1.55 -$24.1M 5.0% 4.7%
FY2024 $716.7M $59.7M $2.18 -$7.7M 10.0% 10.1%
FY2023 $540.5M -$176.2M -$7.04 -$3.5M -33.1% -25.1%
FY2022 $445.7M -$4.2M -$0.17 -$31.9M -2.2% -0.7%
FY2021 $394.9M $23.3M $0.96 $75.3M 11.0% 9.0%
FY2020 $367.3M $41.1M $1.71 $13.9M 12.8% 15.8%
FY2019 $314.3M $47.4M $1.97 $18.1M 10.8% 7.1%
FY2018 $268.4M $19.9M $0.84 $60.9M 11.8% 5.3%
FY2017 $233.1M $12.5M $0.54 -$20.4M 5.4% 3.0%
FY2016 $264.1M $9.0M $0.39 -$6.3M 3.7% 2.7%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

AeroVironment Inc is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 13.4% annually over the past decade.

AeroVironment Inc has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 3.2% ROIC.

AeroVironment Inc has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, AeroVironment Inc is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $51.48 per share.

AVAV stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AVAV's intrinsic value is about $51.48 per share.

Is AVAV stock undervalued?

At $121.79 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AVAV trades 137% above its Graham value of $51.48. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has AeroVironment Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $264.1M in fiscal 2016 to $820.6M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 13.4%. Net income was $43.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does AeroVironment Inc. generate free cash flow?

AeroVironment Inc. generated -$24.1M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 10 reported years.

What is AVAV's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 3.2%, and average return on equity was 1.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AVAV data come from?

From AeroVironment Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jun 29, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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