Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) intrinsic value & 10-year financials
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) has a Graham intrinsic value of $3.65 per share. At $0.52 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 86% below that value. Over the last 5 fiscal years revenue grew 38.4% a year to $122.8M, with an average return on invested capital of 8.5%.
- Graham intrinsic value
- $3.65
- Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
- $0.52
- Price vs Graham value
- 86% below
- Market cap
- $28.0M
- Revenue (FY2025)
- $122.8M
- Revenue growth (5-yr CAGR)
- 38.4%
- ROIC (10-yr avg)
- 8.5%
- Free cash flow (FY2025)
- -$64.2M
BAER 10-year financial history
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | EPS (diluted) | Free cash flow | Operating margin | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | $122.8M | $4.1M | -$0.42 | -$64.2M | — | -2.9% |
| FY2024 | $98.6M | -$15.6M | -$0.81 | $5.3M | 5.4% | -3.5% |
| FY2023 | $66.7M | -$77.4M | $0.11 | -$47.5M | -86.2% | 30.7% |
| FY2022 | $46.4M | -$42.1M | -$4.10 | -$35.5M | -48.8% | 9.6% |
| FY2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.
Executive summary
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 8.5% ROIC over the decade.
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.
Benjamin Graham lens
Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $3.65 per share.