Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) has a Graham intrinsic value of $0.10 per share. At $1.30 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 1200% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 8.8% a year to $51.0M, with an average return on invested capital of 28.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$0.10
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$1.30
Price vs Graham value
1200% above
Market cap
$46.1M
Revenue (FY2025)
$51.0M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
8.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
28.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$2.3M

HGBL 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $51.0M $3.6M $0.10 -$2.3M 11.2% 7.6%
FY2024 $45.4M $5.2M $0.14 $7.6M 20.0% 10.2%
FY2023 $60.5M $12.5M $0.33 $12.8M 23.7% 26.7%
FY2022 $46.9M $15.5M $0.42 $6.3M 23.7% 37.7%
FY2021 $25.8M $3.1M $0.08 -$4.1M 11.7% 21.2%
FY2020 $26.2M $9.7M $0.30 $9.1M 23.1% 70.3%
FY2019 $26.2M $3.9M $0.13 $678.0K 11.7% 30.3%
FY2018 $23.7M $3.8M $0.13 $7.4M 17.2% 68.6%
FY2017 $20.1M -$249.0K -$0.01 $1.1M 1.8% 5.2%
FY2016 $23.8M $14.0K $0.00 $3.8M 0.8% 2.7%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Heritage Global Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 8.8% annually over the past decade.

Heritage Global Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 28.0% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Heritage Global Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Heritage Global Inc. is modeled at -3.7% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $0.10 per share.

HGBL stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -3.7% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HGBL's intrinsic value is about $0.10 per share.

Is HGBL stock undervalued?

At $1.30 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HGBL trades 1200% above its Graham value of $0.10. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Heritage Global Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $23.8M in fiscal 2016 to $51.0M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 8.8%. Net income was $3.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does Heritage Global Inc. generate free cash flow?

Heritage Global Inc. generated -$2.3M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HGBL's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 28.1%, and average return on equity was 23.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HGBL data come from?

From Heritage Global Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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