Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) has a Graham intrinsic value of $2,963.72 per share. At $39.43 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 99% below that value. Over the last 9 fiscal years revenue grew 33.2% a year to $4.2B, with an average return on invested capital of -0.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$2,963.72
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$39.43
Price vs Graham value
99% below
Market cap
$52.6M
Revenue (FY2025)
$4.2B
Revenue growth (9-yr CAGR)
33.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-0.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$624.0M

FOUR 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $4.2B $119.0M — $624.0M 8.4% 6.6%
FY2024 $3.3B $229.6M — $493.2M 7.4% 5.6%
FY2023 $2.6B $86.2M — $374.6M 4.5% 7.0%
FY2022 $2.0B $75.1M — $267.4M 4.8% 8.9%
FY2021 $1.4B -$48.2M — $21.0M -3.6% -6.9%
FY2020 $766.9M -$18.4M — $18.6M -7.5% -8.9%
FY2019 $731.4M -$56.6M — $18.5M -0.6% -0.7%
FY2018 $560.6M -$55.4M — $23.9M -2.3% -18.5%
FY2017 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Shift4 Payments, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Shift4 Payments, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -0.9% ROIC.

Shift4 Payments, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Shift4 Payments, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $2963.72 per share.

FOUR stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, FOUR's intrinsic value is about $2,963.72 per share.

Is FOUR stock undervalued?

At $39.43 (close on Oct 17, 2026), FOUR trades 99% below its Graham value of $2,963.72. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Shift4 Payments, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Shift4 Payments, Inc. generated $624.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 8 reported years.

What is FOUR's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 9 fiscal years was -0.9%, and average return on equity was -474.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this FOUR data come from?

From Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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