B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) has a Graham intrinsic value of $46.32 per share. At $2.20 on Oct 20, 2026, the stock trades 95% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 8.9% a year to $1.8B, with an average return on invested capital of 4.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
$46.32
Share price (Oct 20, 2026)
$2.20
Price vs Graham value
95% below
Market cap
$175.5M
Revenue (FY2026)
$1.8B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
8.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
4.8%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$70.7M

BGS 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $1.8B -$43.3M -$0.54 $70.7M 5.3% 3.6%
FY2024 $1.9B -$251.3M -$3.18 $103.7M -9.2% -5.0%
FY2023 $2.1B -$66.2M -$0.89 $222.1M 3.9% 2.6%
FY2022 $2.2B -$11.4M -$0.16 -$16.3M 4.6% 1.9%
FY2021 $2.0B $132.0M $2.04 $254.7M 14.0% 7.0%
FY2019 $1.7B $76.4M $1.17 $4.1M 12.3% 5.6%
FY2018 $1.7B $172.4M $2.60 $167.8M 20.0% 9.7%
FY2017 $1.6B $217.5M $3.26 -$22.0M 14.5% 8.9%
FY2016 $1.4B $109.4M $1.73 $247.2M 18.5% 8.2%
FY2015 $848.0M $41.0M $0.76 $80.1M 13.7% 5.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

B&G Foods, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 8.9% annually over the past decade.

B&G Foods, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 4.8% ROIC.

Over the decade, B&G Foods, Inc. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, B&G Foods, Inc. is modeled at 8.9% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $46.32 per share.

BGS stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.9% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, BGS's intrinsic value is about $46.32 per share.

Is BGS stock undervalued?

At $2.20 (close on Oct 20, 2026), BGS trades 95% below its Graham value of $46.32. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has B&G Foods, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $848.0M in fiscal 2015 to $1.8B in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 8.9%. Net income was -$43.3M in fiscal 2026.

Does B&G Foods, Inc. generate free cash flow?

B&G Foods, Inc. generated $70.7M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 10 reported years.

What is BGS's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 4.8%, and average return on equity was 4.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this BGS data come from?

From B&G Foods, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 13, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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