CLEVELAND-CLIFFS Inc. (CLF) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

CLEVELAND-CLIFFS Inc. (CLF) has a Graham intrinsic value of $25.91 per share. At $12.12 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 53% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 33.5% a year to $18.6B, with an average return on invested capital of 23.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$25.91
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$12.12
Price vs Graham value
53% below
Market cap
$6.2B
Revenue (FY2025)
$18.6B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
33.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
23.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$1.0B

CLF 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $18.6B -$1.5B -$2.91 -$1.0B -8.5% -8.1%
FY2024 $19.2B -$754.0M -$1.57 -$590.0M -3.9% -4.5%
FY2023 $22.0B $399.0M $0.78 $1.6B 3.1% 4.2%
FY2022 $23.0B $1.3B $2.55 $1.5B 8.4% 12.6%
FY2021 $20.4B $3.0B $5.36 $2.1B 19.6% 33.8%
FY2020 $5.4B -$122.0M -$0.32 -$786.0M -2.7% -1.5%
FY2019 $2.0B $292.8M $1.03 -$76.5M 21.6% 21.2%
FY2018 $2.2B $1.1B $3.71 $391.0M 31.0% 52.9%
FY2017 $1.6B $367.0M $1.26 $186.4M 25.8% 67.4%
FY2016 $1.4B $174.1M $0.87 $233.9M 17.5% 59.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 33.5% annually over the past decade.

CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 23.7% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $25.91 per share.

CLF stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of CLEVELAND-CLIFFS Inc. (CLF) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, CLF's intrinsic value is about $25.91 per share.

Is CLF stock undervalued?

At $12.12 (close on Oct 17, 2026), CLF trades 53% below its Graham value of $25.91. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has CLEVELAND-CLIFFS Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.4B in fiscal 2016 to $18.6B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 33.5%. Net income was -$1.5B in fiscal 2025.

Does CLEVELAND-CLIFFS Inc. generate free cash flow?

CLEVELAND-CLIFFS Inc. generated -$1.0B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 6 of the last 10 reported years.

What is CLF's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 23.7%, and average return on equity was -1113.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this CLF data come from?

From CLEVELAND-CLIFFS Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 23, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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