Tmc the metals Co. Inc. (TMC) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Tmc the metals Co. Inc. (TMC) has a Graham intrinsic value of $17.54 per share. At $2.58 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 85% below that value.

Graham intrinsic value
$17.54
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$2.58
Price vs Graham value
85% below
Market cap
$992.0M
Revenue (FY2025)
—
ROIC (10-yr avg)
215.8%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$43.1M

TMC 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 — -$319.8M $0.83 -$43.1M — 1587.4%
FY2024 — -$81.9M $0.25 -$44.0M — 921.3%
FY2023 — -$73.8M $0.26 -$60.2M — -276.2%
FY2022 — -$171.0M $0.71 — — -259.4%
FY2021 — -$141.3M $0.69 — — -289.1%
FY2020 — -$2.9M $0.32 — — -117.0%
FY2019 — -$9.0K — — — -56.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

TMC the metals Co Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

TMC the metals Co Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -22.4% ROIC.

TMC the metals Co Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, TMC the metals Co Inc. is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $17.54 per share.

TMC stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Tmc the metals Co. Inc. (TMC) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TMC's intrinsic value is about $17.54 per share.

Is TMC stock undervalued?

At $2.58 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TMC trades 85% below its Graham value of $17.54. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Tmc the metals Co. Inc. generate free cash flow?

Tmc the metals Co. Inc. generated -$43.1M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 3 reported years.

What is TMC's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 7 fiscal years was 215.8%, and average return on equity was 415.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TMC data come from?

From Tmc the metals Co. Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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