Diversified Energy Co. (DEC) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Diversified Energy Co. (DEC) has a Graham intrinsic value of $152.13 per share. At $14.83 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 90% below that value. Over the last 6 fiscal years revenue grew 16.1% a year to $1.8B, with an average return on invested capital of -1.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$152.13
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$14.83
Price vs Graham value
90% below
Market cap
$1.1B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.8B
Revenue growth (6-yr CAGR)
16.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-1.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$280.0M

DEC 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.8B $341.1M $4.58 $280.0M 29.2% 17.6%
FY2024 $757.3M -$104.4M -$2.17 $168.6M -12.8% -2.4%
FY2023 $1.9B $748.7M $15.76 $217.2M 56.9% 54.1%
FY2022 $1.9B -$620.6M -$14.82 — -35.0% -41.8%
FY2021 $1.0B -$325.2M -$8.20 — -46.4% -35.6%
FY2020 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Diversified Energy Co revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Diversified Energy Co has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 6.9% ROIC.

Diversified Energy Co has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Diversified Energy Co is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $152.13 per share.

DEC stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Diversified Energy Co. (DEC) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, DEC's intrinsic value is about $152.13 per share.

Is DEC stock undervalued?

At $14.83 (close on Oct 17, 2026), DEC trades 90% below its Graham value of $152.13. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Diversified Energy Co. generate free cash flow?

Diversified Energy Co. generated $280.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 3 of the last 3 reported years.

What is DEC's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 6 fiscal years was -1.6%, and average return on equity was 30.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this DEC data come from?

From Diversified Energy Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 5, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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