Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) has a Graham intrinsic value of $18.27 per share. At $9.84 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 46% below that value. Over the last 6 fiscal years revenue grew 58.8% a year to $1.1B, with an average return on invested capital of 17.2%.

Graham intrinsic value
$18.27
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$9.84
Price vs Graham value
46% below
Market cap
$1.2B
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.1B
Revenue growth (6-yr CAGR)
58.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
17.2%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$30.9M

AESI 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.1B -$50.3M -$0.41 -$30.9M -1.0% -0.5%
FY2024 $1.1B $59.9M $0.55 -$117.5M 10.8% 7.8%
FY2023 $614.0M $105.4M $1.48 -$66.5M 43.2% 28.5%
FY2022 $482.7M $217.0M — $116.4M 48.1% 38.5%
FY2021 $172.4M $4.3M — $2.0M 27.3% 11.7%
FY2020 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 18.6% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $18.27 per share.

AESI stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, AESI's intrinsic value is about $18.27 per share.

Is AESI stock undervalued?

At $9.84 (close on Oct 17, 2026), AESI trades 46% below its Graham value of $18.27. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. generate free cash flow?

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. generated -$30.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 2 of the last 5 reported years.

What is AESI's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 6 fiscal years was 17.2%, and average return on equity was 13.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this AESI data come from?

From Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 5, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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