Elastic N.V. (ESTC) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) has a Graham intrinsic value of $113.93 per share. At $91.74 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 19% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 39.3% a year to $1.7B, with an average return on invested capital of -74.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$113.93
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$91.74
Price vs Graham value
19% below
Market cap
$9.8B
Revenue (FY2026)
$1.7B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
39.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-74.1%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$321.8M

ESTC 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $1.7B $367.8M $3.43 $321.8M -1.9% -1.8%
FY2025 $1.5B -$108.1M -$1.04 $261.8M -3.7% -7.0%
FY2024 $1.3B $61.7M $0.59 $145.3M -10.3% -11.6%
FY2023 $1.1B -$236.2M -$2.47 $33.0M -20.5% -92.5%
FY2022 $862.4M -$203.8M -$2.20 $3.2M -20.1% -167.7%
FY2021 $608.5M -$129.4M -$1.48 $18.6M -21.3% -121.0%
FY2020 $427.6M -$167.2M -$2.12 -$35.6M -40.0% -117.1%
FY2019 $271.7M -$102.3M — -$27.4M -37.3% —
FY2018 $159.9M -$52.7M — -$23.8M -30.0% —
FY2017 $88.2M -$52.0M — -$16.9M -53.5% —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Elastic N.V. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 39.3% annually over the past decade.

Elastic N.V. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -50.4% ROIC.

Elastic N.V. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Elastic N.V. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $113.93 per share.

ESTC stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Elastic N.V. (ESTC) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ESTC's intrinsic value is about $113.93 per share.

Is ESTC stock undervalued?

At $91.74 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ESTC trades 19% below its Graham value of $113.93. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Elastic N.V. grown?

Revenue went from $88.2M in fiscal 2017 to $1.7B in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 39.3%. Net income was $367.8M in fiscal 2026.

Does Elastic N.V. generate free cash flow?

Elastic N.V. generated $321.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 6 of the last 10 reported years.

What is ESTC's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -74.1%, and average return on equity was -26.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ESTC data come from?

From Elastic N.V.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 28, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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