Honda Motor Co. Ltd. (HMC) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Honda Motor Co. Ltd. (HMC) has a Graham intrinsic value of ¥3,782.09 per share. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 4.5% a year to ¥21.7T, with an average return on invested capital of 4.5%.

Graham intrinsic value
¥3,782.09
Revenue (FY2025)
¥21.7T
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
4.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
4.5%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-¥218.7B

HMC 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 ¥21.7T ¥903.0B ¥178.93 -¥218.7B 5.6% 4.4%
FY2024 ¥20.4T ¥1.2T ¥225.88 ¥398.6B 6.8% 5.9%
FY2023 ¥16.9T ¥717.3B ¥42.67 ¥1.7T 4.6% 4.2%
FY2022 ¥14.6T ¥760.7B ¥45.68 ¥1.4T 6.0% 4.2%
FY2021 ¥13.2T ¥695.4B ¥126.92 ¥754.0B 5.0% 3.7%
FY2020 ¥14.9T ¥509.9B ¥86.71 ¥609.2B 4.2% 3.1%
FY2019 ¥15.9T ¥676.3B ¥115.33 ¥355.2B 4.6% 3.8%
FY2018 ¥15.4T ¥1.1T ¥196.93 ¥572.1B 5.4% 6.7%
FY2017 ¥14.0T ¥679.4B ¥114.03 ¥390.9B 6.0% 4.6%
FY2016 ¥14.6T ¥406.4B ¥63.72 ¥755.8B 3.4% 4.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in JPY.

Executive summary

HONDA MOTOR CO LTD has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 4.5% annually over the past decade.

HONDA MOTOR CO LTD has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 4.5% ROIC.

Over the decade, HONDA MOTOR CO LTD shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 13.6% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, HONDA MOTOR CO LTD is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $3782.09 per share.

HMC stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Honda Motor Co. Ltd. (HMC) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HMC's intrinsic value is about ¥3,782.09 per share.

How fast has Honda Motor Co. Ltd. grown?

Revenue went from ¥14.6T in fiscal 2016 to ¥21.7T in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 4.5%. Net income was ¥903.0B in fiscal 2025.

Does Honda Motor Co. Ltd. generate free cash flow?

Honda Motor Co. Ltd. generated -¥218.7B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HMC's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 4.5%, and average return on equity was 8.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HMC data come from?

From Honda Motor Co. Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jun 18, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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