Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) has a Graham intrinsic value of $46.50 per share. At $32.24 on Oct 27, 2026, the stock trades 31% below that value. Over the last 9 fiscal years revenue grew 78.9% a year to $49.3B, with an average return on invested capital of 70.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$46.50
Share price (Oct 27, 2026)
$32.24
Price vs Graham value
31% below
Market cap
$82.8B
Revenue (FY2025)
$49.3B
Revenue growth (9-yr CAGR)
78.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
70.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$3.5B

LKNCY 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $49.3B $3.6B $1.40 $3.5B 10.3% 24.6%
FY2024 $34.5B $2.9B $1.15 $1.9B 10.3% 29.8%
FY2023 $24.9B $2.8B $1.12 $150.2M 12.1% 51.0%
FY2022 $13.3B $488.2M $0.19 -$761.9M 8.7% 431.8%
FY2021 $8.0B $686.4M $0.32 -$49.8M -6.8% 23.7%
FY2020 $4.0B -$5.6B -$2.76 -$3.2B -64.1% -303.0%
FY2019 $3.0B -$3.2B -$2.31 -$3.7B -106.2% 257.8%
FY2018 $840.7M -$1.6B — -$2.3B -190.1% 49.7%
FY2017 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Luckin Coffee Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Luckin Coffee Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 22.8% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Luckin Coffee Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Luckin Coffee Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $46.50 per share.

LKNCY stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, LKNCY's intrinsic value is about $46.50 per share.

Is LKNCY stock undervalued?

At $32.24 (close on Oct 27, 2026), LKNCY trades 31% below its Graham value of $46.50. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Luckin Coffee Inc. generate free cash flow?

Luckin Coffee Inc. generated $3.5B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 3 of the last 8 reported years.

What is LKNCY's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 9 fiscal years was 70.7%, and average return on equity was -6.3%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this LKNCY data come from?

From Luckin Coffee Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Mar 27, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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