Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd. (MATH) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd. (MATH) has a Graham intrinsic value of $13.62 per share. At $1.02 on Oct 27, 2026, the stock trades 93% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 44.1% a year to $44.6M, with an average return on invested capital of -21.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$13.62
Share price (Oct 27, 2026)
$1.02
Price vs Graham value
93% below
Market cap
$39.5M
Revenue (FY2025)
$44.6M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
44.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-21.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$24.7K

MATH 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $44.6M $15.9M $0.41 $24.7K — 59.5%
FY2024 $236.2K -$3.7M -$0.11 -$11.6M — -28.9%
FY2023 $5.7M -$20.2M -$0.75 -$1.1M — -176.9%
FY2022 $2.2M -$14.4M -$0.79 — — -106.1%
FY2021 $225.7K -$5.1M -$0.44 — -1743.1% -37.8%
FY2020 $11.3K -$1.4M -$0.12 — -18832.5% -23.9%
FY2019 $2.8M -$1.1M -$0.09 — -81.0% -10.1%
FY2018 $4.3M $193.1K $0.02 — 9.0% 2.7%
FY2017 $3.6M $1.7M $0.17 — 56.1% 70.9%
FY2016 $1.7M $652.9K $0.07 — 40.8% 37.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 44.1% annually over the past decade.

Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -3.8% ROIC.

Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $13.62 per share.

MATH stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd. (MATH) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MATH's intrinsic value is about $13.62 per share.

Is MATH stock undervalued?

At $1.02 (close on Oct 27, 2026), MATH trades 93% below its Graham value of $13.62. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd. grown?

Revenue went from $1.7M in fiscal 2016 to $44.6M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 44.1%. Net income was $15.9M in fiscal 2025.

Does Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd. generate free cash flow?

Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd. generated $24.7K of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 1 of the last 3 reported years.

What is MATH's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -21.3%, and average return on equity was -23.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MATH data come from?

From Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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