Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) has a Graham intrinsic value of $35.87 per share. At $63.91 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 78% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 4.5% a year to $38.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 7.7%.

Graham intrinsic value
$35.87
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$63.91
Price vs Graham value
78% above
Market cap
$83.0B
Revenue (FY2025)
$38.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
4.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
7.7%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$3.2B

MDLZ 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $38.5B $2.5B $1.89 $3.2B 9.2% 6.3%
FY2024 $36.4B $4.6B $3.42 $3.5B 17.4% 10.9%
FY2023 $36.0B $5.0B $3.62 $3.6B 15.3% 9.2%
FY2022 $31.5B $2.7B $1.96 $3.0B 11.2% 6.0%
FY2021 $28.7B $4.3B $3.04 $3.2B 16.2% 8.3%
FY2020 $26.6B $3.6B $2.47 $3.1B 14.5% 6.7%
FY2019 $25.9B $3.9B $2.65 $3.0B 14.9% 9.4%
FY2018 $25.9B $3.4B $2.28 $2.9B 12.8% 6.8%
FY2017 $25.9B $2.9B $1.91 $1.6B 13.5% 7.3%
FY2016 $25.9B $1.7B $1.05 $1.6B 9.9% 6.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Mondelez International has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 4.5% annually over the past decade.

Mondelez International has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 7.7% ROIC.

Over the decade, Mondelez International shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 17.5% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Mondelez International is modeled at 6.8% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $35.87 per share.

MDLZ stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 6.8% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MDLZ's intrinsic value is about $35.87 per share.

Is MDLZ stock undervalued?

At $63.91 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MDLZ trades 78% above its Graham value of $35.87. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Mondelez International, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $25.9B in fiscal 2016 to $38.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 4.5%. Net income was $2.5B in fiscal 2025.

Does Mondelez International, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Mondelez International, Inc. generated $3.2B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is MDLZ's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 7.7%, and average return on equity was 12.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MDLZ data come from?

From Mondelez International, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Jul 28, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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