Medicinova Inc. (MNOV) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Medicinova Inc. (MNOV) has a Graham intrinsic value of $16.28 per share. At $1.42 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 91% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 43.6% a year to $409.7K, with an average return on invested capital of -72.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$16.28
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$1.42
Price vs Graham value
91% below
Market cap
$69.7M
Revenue (FY2025)
$409.7K
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-43.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-72.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$9.8M

MNOV 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $409.7K -$12.0M -$0.24 -$9.8M -3242.5% -114.7%
FY2024 — -$11.0M -$0.23 -$10.6M — -105.0%
FY2023 $1.0M -$8.6M -$0.17 -$7.5M -990.0% -30.9%
FY2022 — -$14.1M -$0.29 -$12.9M — -44.9%
FY2021 $4.0M -$10.1M -$0.21 -$9.4M -253.0% -84.3%
FY2020 — -$13.9M — -$10.9M — -125.6%
FY2019 — -$12.9M — -$9.1M — -124.3%
FY2018 — -$14.7M — -$9.1M — -27.9%
FY2017 — -$11.2M — — — -30.8%
FY2016 — -$10.9M — -$6.6M — -31.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

MEDICINOVA INC revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

MEDICINOVA INC has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -72.0% ROIC.

MEDICINOVA INC capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, MEDICINOVA INC is modeled at -43.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $16.28 per share.

MNOV stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Medicinova Inc. (MNOV) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -43.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MNOV's intrinsic value is about $16.28 per share.

Is MNOV stock undervalued?

At $1.42 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MNOV trades 91% below its Graham value of $16.28. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Medicinova Inc. generate free cash flow?

Medicinova Inc. generated -$9.8M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 9 reported years.

What is MNOV's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -72.0%, and average return on equity was -21.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MNOV data come from?

From Medicinova Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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